NFL picks · 2026 Week 6 · Sunday, October 18
Texans vs Jaguars — in progress
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars, NFL Week 6. The game is under way. Picks are graded here as soon as it goes final.
In progress
HOU 24 · JAX 14
The model's pick: Jacksonville Jaguars by 5.2.
The safest side and the value bet on this game are on the members' board while it is being played. They are posted here for everyone, with the result, as soon as the game goes final.
What we projected before kickoff
Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Houston Texans 20
Projected margin
JAX −5.2
market: JAX −2.5
Projected total
45
market: 42.0
A projection is an expected outcome, not a promise. One game proves nothing about a model either way; the season-long record is what counts, and it is all here.
Where the line went
Spread
JAX -2.5
never moved
Total
42.5 →42
first posted, then the close
JAX moneyline
-140 →-135
first posted, then the close
First price we posted, then the last one before kickoff (our final refresh, not the book's official close).
NFL Week 6
The rest of the week
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET |
| Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders | Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET |
| Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers | Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs | Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET |
| New Orleans Saints at New York Giants | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| New York Jets at New England Patriots | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts | Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET |
| Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers | Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET |
| Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos | SEA 14 · DEN 17 |